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How is this worked out?
We take the forecasts each model made one day ahead and compare them, hour by hour, with what the nearest suitable weather station actually measured: temperature, wind speed and daily precipitation. For each of these we work out every model’s average error, then compare it with the average of all the models. The model with the lowest combined score ranks first. The station is picked for being close and at a similar height to your point, and the forecasts are worked out for the height of the station, so it is a fair test.
Models and what’s shown
Changes are saved automaticallyArnavad Peak snow forecast and mountain weather
Arnavad Peak rises to 5,992 m in Tajikistan, in the Darvaz Range (Pamir Mountains), with a prominence of 1,559 m. The forecast below starts at the summit; lower the height to see the slopes and valleys, or compare every model.
Arnavad Peak snow forecast, day by day
| Day | Summit5,992 m | 500 m lower5,490 m | 1,000 m lower4,990 m | Freezing level |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 28 Oct | 11 cm | 11 cm | 11 cm | 2,150–3,150 m |
| Thu 29 Oct | 5 cm | 5 cm | 5 cm | 1,400–3,000 m |
| Fri 30 Oct | <1 cm | <1 cm | <1 cm | 1,300–2,950 m |
| Sat 31 Oct | 17 cm | 17 cm | 17 cm | 2,250–3,000 m |
| Sun 1 Nov | 17 cm | 17 cm | 17 cm | 2,200–3,100 m |
| Mon 2 Nov | 7 cm | 7 cm | 7 cm | 1,200–2,950 m |
| Tue 3 Nov | <1 cm | <1 cm | <1 cm | 850–2,200 m |
| Total | 58 cm | 58 cm | 58 cm |
Forecast snowfall worked out for each height from ECMWF (days in UTC, updated 2 hours ago). Not a measured snow depth. The forecast above has the hour-by-hour detail, wind and temperature, and every other model.
Mountains near Arnavad Peak
- Vysoky Yazgulem5,588 m · 43 km away · 22 cm in 3 days
- Pik Agasis5,877 m · 50 km away · 8 cm in 3 days
- Moscow Peak6,785 m · 50 km away · 6 cm in 3 days
- Pik Garmo6,595 m · 55 km away · 17 cm in 3 days
- Pik Russia6,875 m · 57 km away · 17 cm in 3 days
- Ismoil Somoni Peak7,495 m · 60 km away · 13 cm in 3 days
- Peak Ozodi7,105 m · 69 km away · 13 cm in 3 days
- Independence Peak6,940 m · 73 km away · 22 cm in 3 days
More: Mountains in the Pamir Mountains · Mountains in Tajikistan · Mountains in Asia · The world’s highest mountains · Ski resorts
Questions about Arnavad Peak
- Will it snow on Arnavad Peak this week?
- Yes. About 58 cm of snow is forecast at the summit of Arnavad Peak (5,992 m) over the next 7 days, most of it on Saturday.
- What is the freezing level on Arnavad Peak?
- Over the next 7 days the freezing level is forecast between about 850 m and 3,150 m. The summit is 5,992 m, so it should stay below freezing at the top all week.
- How high is Arnavad Peak?
- Arnavad Peak is 5,992 m (19,659 ft) high, in Tajikistan.
- How prominent is Arnavad Peak?
- Arnavad Peak has a topographic prominence of 1,559 m (5,115 ft): it rises that far above the lowest col linking it to any higher ground.
- Which mountain range is Arnavad Peak in?
- Arnavad Peak is in the Darvaz Range, part of the Pamir Mountains.
Mountain heights and names: Wikidata (CC0).