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Most accurate here picks the models that have matched the nearest weather station best. My choice uses the models you tick below.
How is this worked out?
We take the forecasts each model made one day ahead and compare them, hour by hour, with what the nearest suitable weather station actually measured: temperature, wind speed and daily precipitation. For each of these we work out every model’s average error, then compare it with the average of all the models. The model with the lowest combined score ranks first. The station is picked for being close and at a similar height to your point, and the forecasts are worked out for the height of the station, so it is a fair test.
Models and what’s shown
Changes are saved automaticallyCairn Toul snow forecast and mountain weather
Cairn Toul rises to 1,291 m in United Kingdom, in the Cairngorms (Scottish Highlands), with a prominence of 166 m. The forecast below starts at the summit; lower the height to see the slopes and valleys, or compare every model.
Cairn Toul snow forecast, day by day
| Day | Summit1,291 m | 500 m lower790 m | 1,000 m lower290 m | Freezing level |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 26 Oct | 1 cm | <1 cm | – | 1,050–2,350 m |
| Tue 27 Oct | 5 cm | 1 cm | – | 1,100–2,500 m |
| Wed 28 Oct | 4 cm | 1 cm | – | 1,100–1,650 m |
| Thu 29 Oct | – | – | – | 1,350–1,950 m |
| Fri 30 Oct | – | – | – | 1,500–2,050 m |
| Sat 31 Oct | – | – | – | 1,500–2,300 m |
| Sun 1 Nov | – | – | – | 1,150–2,100 m |
| Total | 10 cm | 2 cm | – |
Forecast snowfall worked out for each height from Met Office (days in UTC, updated 8 hours ago). Not a measured snow depth. The forecast above has the hour-by-hour detail, wind and temperature, and every other model.
Mountains near Cairn Toul
- Sgòr an Lochain Uaine1,258 m · 1 km away · 10 cm in 3 days
- The Devil's Point1,004 m · 2 km away · 7 cm in 3 days
- Braeriach1,296 m · 3 km away · 8 cm in 3 days
- Ben Macdui1,309 m · 3 km away · 10 cm in 3 days
- Càrn a' Mhàim1,037 m · 4 km away · 7 cm in 3 days
- Monadh Mòr1,113 m · 4 km away · 9 cm in 3 days
- Beinn Bhrotain1,157 m · 5 km away · 9 cm in 3 days
- Derry Cairngorm1,155 m · 5 km away · 9 cm in 3 days
Ski areas near Cairn Toul
- Glenshee Ski Center27 km away · 5 cm in 3 days
- The Lecht32 km away · no snow in 3 days
More: Mountains in the Cairngorms · Mountains in the Scottish Highlands · Mountains in United Kingdom · Mountains in Europe · The world’s highest mountains · Ski resorts
Questions about Cairn Toul
- Will it snow on Cairn Toul this week?
- Yes. About 10 cm of snow is forecast at the summit of Cairn Toul (1,291 m) over the next 7 days, most of it on Tuesday.
- What is the freezing level on Cairn Toul?
- Over the next 7 days the freezing level is forecast between about 1,050 m and 2,500 m. The summit is 1,291 m, so the summit will be below freezing at times and above it at others.
- How high is Cairn Toul?
- Cairn Toul is 1,291 m (4,236 ft) high, in United Kingdom.
- How prominent is Cairn Toul?
- Cairn Toul has a topographic prominence of 166 m (545 ft): it rises that far above the lowest col linking it to any higher ground.
- Which mountain range is Cairn Toul in?
- Cairn Toul is in the Cairngorms, part of the Scottish Highlands.
Mountain heights and names: Wikidata (CC0).