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How is this worked out?
We take the forecasts each model made one day ahead and compare them, hour by hour, with what the nearest suitable weather station actually measured: temperature, wind speed and daily precipitation. For each of these we work out every model’s average error, then compare it with the average of all the models. The model with the lowest combined score ranks first. The station is picked for being close and at a similar height to your point, and the forecasts are worked out for the height of the station, so it is a fair test.
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Changes are saved automaticallyCarstensz East snow forecast and mountain weather
Carstensz East rises to 4,884 m in Indonesia, in the Sudirmanbergen (New Guinea Highlands), with a prominence of 280 m. The forecast below starts at the summit; lower the height to see the slopes and valleys, or compare every model.
Carstensz East snow forecast, day by day
| Day | Summit4,884 m | 500 m lower4,380 m | 1,000 m lower3,880 m | Freezing level |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 24 Oct | 8 cm | <1 cm | – | |
| Sun 25 Oct | 14 cm | <1 cm | – | |
| Mon 26 Oct | 21 cm | 2 cm | – | |
| Tue 27 Oct | 23 cm | 3 cm | – | |
| Wed 28 Oct | 3 cm | 1 cm | – | |
| Thu 29 Oct | 2 cm | <1 cm | – | |
| Fri 30 Oct | 3 cm | 1 cm | <1 cm | |
| Total | 76 cm | 7 cm | <1 cm |
Forecast snowfall worked out for each height from ECMWF (days in UTC, updated 7 hours ago). Not a measured snow depth. The forecast above has the hour-by-hour detail, wind and temperature, and every other model.
Mountains near Carstensz East
- Puncak Jaya4,884 m · 12 km away · 43 cm in 3 days
- Sumantri4,870 m · 12 km away · 42 cm in 3 days
- Ngga Pulu4,862 m · 12 km away · 42 cm in 3 days
- Ngga Pilimsit4,717 m · 26 km away · 34 cm in 3 days
More: Mountains in the Sudirmanbergen · Mountains in the New Guinea Highlands · Mountains in Indonesia · Mountains in Oceania · The world’s highest mountains · Ski resorts
Questions about Carstensz East
- Will it snow on Carstensz East this week?
- Yes. About 76 cm of snow is forecast at the summit of Carstensz East (4,884 m) over the next 7 days, most of it on Tuesday.
- How high is Carstensz East?
- Carstensz East is 4,884 m (16,024 ft) high, in Indonesia.
- How prominent is Carstensz East?
- Carstensz East has a topographic prominence of 280 m (919 ft): it rises that far above the lowest col linking it to any higher ground.
- Which mountain range is Carstensz East in?
- Carstensz East is in the Sudirmanbergen, part of the New Guinea Highlands.
Mountain heights and names: Wikidata (CC0).