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How is this worked out?
We take the forecasts each model made one day ahead and compare them, hour by hour, with what the nearest suitable weather station actually measured: temperature, wind speed and daily precipitation. For each of these we work out every model’s average error, then compare it with the average of all the models. The model with the lowest combined score ranks first. The station is picked for being close and at a similar height to your point, and the forecasts are worked out for the height of the station, so it is a fair test.
Models and what’s shown
Changes are saved automaticallyEngels Peak snow forecast and mountain weather
Engels Peak rises to 6,510 m in Tajikistan, in the Shakhdara Range (Pamir Mountains), with a prominence of 900 m. The forecast below starts at the summit; lower the height to see the slopes and valleys, or compare every model.
Engels Peak snow forecast, day by day
| Day | Summit6,510 m | 500 m lower6,010 m | 1,000 m lower5,510 m | Freezing level |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 25 Oct | 1 cm | 1 cm | 1 cm | 2,350–3,750 m |
| Mon 26 Oct | 1 cm | 1 cm | 1 cm | 2,450–3,850 m |
| Tue 27 Oct | 6 cm | 6 cm | 6 cm | 2,450–3,600 m |
| Wed 28 Oct | <1 cm | <1 cm | <1 cm | 2,000–3,450 m |
| Thu 29 Oct | – | – | – | 1,900–3,500 m |
| Fri 30 Oct | 2 cm | 2 cm | 2 cm | 1,800–3,350 m |
| Sat 31 Oct | – | – | – | 1,800–3,350 m |
| Total | 10 cm | 10 cm | 10 cm |
Forecast snowfall worked out for each height from ECMWF (days in UTC, updated 7 hours ago). Not a measured snow depth. The forecast above has the hour-by-hour detail, wind and temperature, and every other model.
Mountains near Engels Peak
- Pik Karla Marxa6,723 m · 3 km away · 8 cm in 3 days
- Shah Dhar7,038 m · 61 km away · 6 cm in 3 days
- Pik Mayakovskiy6,095 m · 73 km away · 5 cm in 3 days
- Saraghrar7,338 m · 78 km away · 4 cm in 3 days
- Koyo Zom6,872 m · 81 km away · 9 cm in 3 days
- Patkhor Peak6,083 m · 85 km away · 6 cm in 3 days
- Udren Zom7,140 m · 85 km away · 4 cm in 3 days
- Noshaq7,492 m · 103 km away · 1 cm in 3 days
More: Mountains in the Pamir Mountains · Mountains in Tajikistan · Mountains in Asia · The world’s highest mountains · Ski resorts
Questions about Engels Peak
- Will it snow on Engels Peak this week?
- Yes. About 9.6 cm of snow is forecast at the summit of Engels Peak (6,510 m) over the next 7 days, most of it on Tuesday.
- What is the freezing level on Engels Peak?
- Over the next 7 days the freezing level is forecast between about 1,800 m and 3,850 m. The summit is 6,510 m, so it should stay below freezing at the top all week.
- How high is Engels Peak?
- Engels Peak is 6,510 m (21,358 ft) high, in Tajikistan.
- How prominent is Engels Peak?
- Engels Peak has a topographic prominence of 900 m (2,953 ft): it rises that far above the lowest col linking it to any higher ground.
- Which mountain range is Engels Peak in?
- Engels Peak is in the Shakhdara Range, part of the Pamir Mountains.
Mountain heights and names: Wikidata (CC0).