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How is this worked out?
We take the forecasts each model made one day ahead and compare them, hour by hour, with what the nearest suitable weather station actually measured: temperature, wind speed and daily precipitation. For each of these we work out every model’s average error, then compare it with the average of all the models. The model with the lowest combined score ranks first. The station is picked for being close and at a similar height to your point, and the forecasts are worked out for the height of the station, so it is a fair test.
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Changes are saved automaticallyGora Babash-Ata snow forecast and mountain weather
Gora Babash-Ata rises to 4,428 m in Kyrgyzstan, with a prominence of 1,708 m. The forecast below starts at the summit; lower the height to see the slopes and valleys, or compare every model.
Gora Babash-Ata snow forecast, day by day
| Day | Summit4,428 m | 500 m lower3,930 m | 1,000 m lower3,430 m | Freezing level |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 27 Oct | – | – | – | 2,200–3,650 m |
| Wed 28 Oct | 5 cm | 5 cm | 5 cm | 1,900–3,050 m |
| Thu 29 Oct | 3 cm | 3 cm | 3 cm | 1,800–2,900 m |
| Fri 30 Oct | – | – | – | 1,800–3,300 m |
| Sat 31 Oct | 3 cm | 3 cm | 3 cm | 2,250–3,450 m |
| Sun 1 Nov | 8 cm | 8 cm | 8 cm | 2,250–3,500 m |
| Mon 2 Nov | 17 cm | 17 cm | 17 cm | 1,700–2,850 m |
| Total | 36 cm | 36 cm | 36 cm |
Forecast snowfall worked out for each height from ECMWF (days in UTC, updated 11 hours ago). Not a measured snow depth. The forecast above has the hour-by-hour detail, wind and temperature, and every other model.
Mountains near Gora Babash-Ata
- Suusamyr Too4,048 m · 85 km away · 2 cm in 3 days
- Gora Bozbu-Too2,875 m · 86 km away · 2 cm in 3 days
- Sulaiman-Too1,110 m · 99 km away · no snow in 3 days
More: Mountains in Kyrgyzstan · Mountains in Asia · The world’s highest mountains · Ski resorts
Questions about Gora Babash-Ata
- Will it snow on Gora Babash-Ata this week?
- Yes. About 36 cm of snow is forecast at the summit of Gora Babash-Ata (4,428 m) over the next 7 days, most of it on Monday.
- What is the freezing level on Gora Babash-Ata?
- Over the next 7 days the freezing level is forecast between about 1,700 m and 3,650 m. The summit is 4,428 m, so it should stay below freezing at the top all week.
- How high is Gora Babash-Ata?
- Gora Babash-Ata is 4,428 m (14,528 ft) high, in Kyrgyzstan.
- How prominent is Gora Babash-Ata?
- Gora Babash-Ata has a topographic prominence of 1,708 m (5,604 ft): it rises that far above the lowest col linking it to any higher ground.
Mountain heights and names: Wikidata (CC0).