snownow
Every weather model, at your elevation.
1 Location
2 Choose your adventure
3 Elevation
3 Forecast
Advanced forecast settings: compare the models
For the weather-wise: see every model side by side, charts, tables and how each one has scored against real measurements.
Most accurate here picks the models that have matched the nearest weather station best. My choice uses the models you tick below.
How is this worked out?
We take the forecasts each model made one day ahead and compare them, hour by hour, with what the nearest suitable weather station actually measured: temperature, wind speed and daily precipitation. For each of these we work out every model’s average error, then compare it with the average of all the models. The model with the lowest combined score ranks first. The station is picked for being close and at a similar height to your point, and the forecasts are worked out for the height of the station, so it is a fair test.
Models and what’s shown
Changes are saved automaticallyGreater Ararat snow forecast, day by day
| Day | Summit5,165 m | 500 m lower4,670 m | 1,000 m lower4,170 m | Freezing level |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 26 Oct | – | – | – | 2,900–3,900 m |
| Tue 27 Oct | 1 cm | 1 cm | 1 cm | 3,250–4,050 m |
| Wed 28 Oct | 3 cm | 3 cm | 3 cm | 3,350–4,050 m |
| Thu 29 Oct | 8 cm | 8 cm | 8 cm | 3,050–3,450 m |
| Fri 30 Oct | 2 cm | 2 cm | 2 cm | 2,850–3,800 m |
| Sat 31 Oct | 1 cm | 1 cm | 1 cm | 2,800–3,500 m |
| Sun 1 Nov | – | – | – | 3,050–3,650 m |
| Total | 16 cm | 16 cm | 16 cm |
Forecast snowfall worked out for each height from ECMWF (days in UTC, updated 12 hours ago). Not a measured snow depth. The forecast above has the hour-by-hour detail, wind and temperature, and every other model.
Mountains near Greater Ararat
- Mount Ararat5,137 m · 0 km away · 4 cm in 3 days
- Little Ararat3,925 m · 11 km away · 7 cm in 3 days
- Mount Tendürek3,533 m · 54 km away · 2 cm in 3 days
- Ishtasar1,926 m · 57 km away · no snow in 3 days
- Çıplakyurt Hill2,774 m · 68 km away · no snow in 3 days
- Mankunq2,927 m · 74 km away · no snow in 3 days
- Geghasar3,443 m · 75 km away · 1 cm in 3 days
- Hatis2,528 m · 77 km away · no snow in 3 days
More: Mountains in the Armenian Highlands · Mountains in Turkey · Mountains in Asia · The world’s highest mountains · Ski resorts
Questions about Greater Ararat
- Will it snow on Greater Ararat this week?
- Yes. About 16 cm of snow is forecast at the summit of Greater Ararat (5,165 m) over the next 7 days, most of it on Thursday.
- What is the freezing level on Greater Ararat?
- Over the next 7 days the freezing level is forecast between about 2,800 m and 4,050 m. The summit is 5,165 m, so it should stay below freezing at the top all week.
- How high is Greater Ararat?
- Greater Ararat is 5,165 m (16,946 ft) high, in Turkey.
- Which mountain range is Greater Ararat in?
- Greater Ararat is in the Armenian Highlands.
Mountain heights and names: Wikidata (CC0).