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How is this worked out?
We take the forecasts each model made one day ahead and compare them, hour by hour, with what the nearest suitable weather station actually measured: temperature, wind speed and daily precipitation. For each of these we work out every model’s average error, then compare it with the average of all the models. The model with the lowest combined score ranks first. The station is picked for being close and at a similar height to your point, and the forecasts are worked out for the height of the station, so it is a fair test.
Models and what’s shown
Changes are saved automaticallyKhazret Sultan snow forecast and mountain weather
Khazret Sultan rises to 4,643 m in Uzbekistan, in the Hisar Range (Tianshan Mountains), with a prominence of 564 m. The forecast below starts at the summit; lower the height to see the slopes and valleys, or compare every model.
Khazret Sultan snow forecast, day by day
| Day | Summit4,643 m | 500 m lower4,140 m | 1,000 m lower3,640 m | Freezing level |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 24 Oct | – | – | – | |
| Sun 25 Oct | – | – | – | |
| Mon 26 Oct | – | – | – | |
| Tue 27 Oct | 1 cm | 1 cm | 1 cm | |
| Wed 28 Oct | 4 cm | 4 cm | 4 cm | |
| Thu 29 Oct | – | – | – | |
| Fri 30 Oct | – | – | – | |
| Total | 5 cm | 5 cm | 5 cm |
Forecast snowfall worked out for each height from ECMWF (days in UTC, updated 8 hours ago). Not a measured snow depth. The forecast above has the hour-by-hour detail, wind and temperature, and every other model.
Mountains near Khazret Sultan
- Pik Chimtarga5,489 m · 28 km away · no snow in 3 days
More: Mountains in the Pamir-Alay · Mountains in the Tianshan Mountains · Mountains in Uzbekistan · Mountains in Asia · The world’s highest mountains · Ski resorts
Questions about Khazret Sultan
- Will it snow on Khazret Sultan this week?
- Yes. About 4.5 cm of snow is forecast at the summit of Khazret Sultan (4,643 m) over the next 7 days, most of it on Wednesday.
- How high is Khazret Sultan?
- Khazret Sultan is 4,643 m (15,233 ft) high, in Uzbekistan.
- How prominent is Khazret Sultan?
- Khazret Sultan has a topographic prominence of 564 m (1,850 ft): it rises that far above the lowest col linking it to any higher ground.
- Which mountain range is Khazret Sultan in?
- Khazret Sultan is in the Hisar Range, part of the Tianshan Mountains.
Mountain heights and names: Wikidata (CC0).