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How is this worked out?
We take the forecasts each model made one day ahead and compare them, hour by hour, with what the nearest suitable weather station actually measured: temperature, wind speed and daily precipitation. For each of these we work out every model’s average error, then compare it with the average of all the models. The model with the lowest combined score ranks first. The station is picked for being close and at a similar height to your point, and the forecasts are worked out for the height of the station, so it is a fair test.
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Changes are saved automaticallyMountains › People's Republic of China
Muzat I snow forecast and mountain weather
Muzat I rises to 6,571 m in People's Republic of China, with a prominence of 1,871 m. The forecast below starts at the summit; lower the height to see the slopes and valleys, or compare every model.
Muzat I snow forecast, day by day
| Day | Summit6,571 m | 500 m lower6,070 m | 1,000 m lower5,570 m | Freezing level |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 28 Oct | <1 cm | <1 cm | <1 cm | 1,100–2,500 m |
| Thu 29 Oct | – | – | – | 750–2,700 m |
| Fri 30 Oct | – | – | – | 800–2,550 m |
| Sat 31 Oct | – | – | – | 900–2,150 m |
| Sun 1 Nov | – | – | – | 1,100–2,500 m |
| Mon 2 Nov | 1 cm | 1 cm | 1 cm | 950–2,700 m |
| Tue 3 Nov | – | – | – | 900–2,200 m |
| Total | 1 cm | 1 cm | 1 cm |
Forecast snowfall worked out for each height from ECMWF (days in UTC, updated 29 minutes ago). Not a measured snow depth. The forecast above has the hour-by-hour detail, wind and temperature, and every other model.
Mountains near Muzat I
- Jengish Chokusu7,439 m · 31 km away · 1 cm in 3 days
- Khan Tengri7,010 m · 33 km away · 2 cm in 3 days
- Pik Tjapajeva6,371 m · 35 km away · 2 cm in 3 days
- Bayankol5,841 m · 39 km away · 2 cm in 3 days
- Xuelian Feng6,627 m · 40 km away · no snow in 3 days
- Semyonov peak5,816 m · 41 km away · 2 cm in 3 days
- Yanamax6,357 m · 52 km away · no snow in 3 days
More: Mountains in People's Republic of China · Mountains in Asia · The world’s highest mountains · Ski resorts
Questions about Muzat I
- Will it snow on Muzat I this week?
- Little or no new snow is forecast on Muzat I over the next 7 days (0.9 cm at the summit). Forecasts change, so check again closer to the time.
- What is the freezing level on Muzat I?
- Over the next 7 days the freezing level is forecast between about 750 m and 2,700 m. The summit is 6,571 m, so it should stay below freezing at the top all week.
- How high is Muzat I?
- Muzat I is 6,571 m (21,558 ft) high, in People's Republic of China.
- How prominent is Muzat I?
- Muzat I has a topographic prominence of 1,871 m (6,138 ft): it rises that far above the lowest col linking it to any higher ground.
Mountain heights and names: Wikidata (CC0).