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How is this worked out?
We take the forecasts each model made one day ahead and compare them, hour by hour, with what the nearest suitable weather station actually measured: temperature, wind speed and daily precipitation. For each of these we work out every model’s average error, then compare it with the average of all the models. The model with the lowest combined score ranks first. The station is picked for being close and at a similar height to your point, and the forecasts are worked out for the height of the station, so it is a fair test.
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Changes are saved automaticallySki resorts › United States › New Mexico
Pajarito Mountain snow forecast
3.1 cm of snow forecast in the next 3 days at the top of the ski area. Pajarito Mountain has about 34 km of runs from 2,736 m to 3,179 m (United States). The forecast below starts at the top; switch to the middle or bottom, or compare every model.
Pajarito Mountain snow forecast, day by day
| Day | Top3,179 m | Middle2,960 m | Bottom2,736 m | Freezing level |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 24 Oct | – | – | – | 3,800–4,050 m |
| Sun 25 Oct | 1 cm | <1 cm | – | 3,400–3,900 m |
| Mon 26 Oct | 2 cm | <1 cm | – | 3,350–3,800 m |
| Tue 27 Oct | – | – | – | 3,650–3,900 m |
| Wed 28 Oct | – | – | – | 3,850–4,050 m |
| Thu 29 Oct | – | – | – | 3,800–3,950 m |
| Fri 30 Oct | <1 cm | – | – | 3,450–3,900 m |
| Total | 3 cm | <1 cm | – |
Forecast snowfall worked out for each height from GFS (US) (days in UTC, updated 3 hours ago). Not a measured snow depth. The forecast above has the hour-by-hour detail and every other model.
Ski areas near Pajarito Mountain
- Ski Santa Fe55 km away · 11 cm in 3 days
- Sandia Peak Ski Area77 km away · no snow in 3 days
- Sipapu Ski and Summer Resort81 km away · no snow in 3 days
- Taos Ski Valley114 km away · 5 cm in 3 days
- Angel Fire Resort117 km away · no snow in 3 days
- Red River Ski Area126 km away · 1 cm in 3 days
Mountains near Pajarito Mountain
- Valles Caldera3,441 m · 16 km away
More snow forecasts: New Mexico · United States · All ski resorts
Questions about Pajarito Mountain
- Will it snow at Pajarito Mountain this week?
- Yes. About 3.4 cm of snow is forecast at the top of Pajarito Mountain (3,179 m) over the next 7 days, most of it on Monday, and about no new snow at the middle (2,960 m).
- What is the freezing level at Pajarito Mountain?
- Over the next 7 days the freezing level is forecast between about 3,350 m and 4,050 m. Pajarito Mountain runs from 2,736 m to 3,179 m, so it stays above freezing even at the top: rain is likely if anything falls.
- How high is Pajarito Mountain?
- Pajarito Mountain runs from 2,736 m at the bottom to 3,179 m at the top, with about 34 km of ski runs in New Mexico, United States.