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How is this worked out?
We take the forecasts each model made one day ahead and compare them, hour by hour, with what the nearest suitable weather station actually measured: temperature, wind speed and daily precipitation. For each of these we work out every model’s average error, then compare it with the average of all the models. The model with the lowest combined score ranks first. The station is picked for being close and at a similar height to your point, and the forecasts are worked out for the height of the station, so it is a fair test.
Models and what’s shown
Changes are saved automaticallySmall Vraca snow forecast and mountain weather
Small Vraca rises to 2,536 m in North Macedonia, in the Šar Mountains. The forecast below starts at the summit; lower the height to see the slopes and valleys, or compare every model.
Small Vraca snow forecast, day by day
| Day | Summit2,536 m | 500 m lower2,040 m | 1,000 m lower1,540 m | Freezing level |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 25 Oct | – | – | – | 2,200–3,200 m |
| Mon 26 Oct | 3 cm | 1 cm | – | 1,450–2,750 m |
| Tue 27 Oct | 2 cm | 2 cm | 2 cm | 1,300–2,150 m |
| Wed 28 Oct | <1 cm | <1 cm | <1 cm | 1,350–2,450 m |
| Thu 29 Oct | 1 cm | 1 cm | – | 2,050–2,450 m |
| Fri 30 Oct | 8 cm | 8 cm | 2 cm | 1,900–2,400 m |
| Sat 31 Oct | 3 cm | 3 cm | 2 cm | 1,850–2,050 m |
| Total | 18 cm | 15 cm | 6 cm |
Forecast snowfall worked out for each height from ECMWF (days in UTC, updated 2 hours ago). Not a measured snow depth. The forecast above has the hour-by-hour detail, wind and temperature, and every other model.
Mountains near Small Vraca
- Big Vraca2,582 m · 2 km away · 5 cm in 3 days
- Velika Rudoka2,658 m · 5 km away · 5 cm in 3 days
- Titov Vrv2,747 m · 13 km away · 5 cm in 3 days
- Džini Beg2,610 m · 18 km away · 5 cm in 3 days
- Popova Šapka1,780 m · 18 km away · 2 cm in 3 days
- Korab2,764 m · 19 km away · 2 cm in 3 days
- Kobilica2,528 m · 25 km away · 9 cm in 3 days
- Gjallica2,485 m · 26 km away · 3 cm in 3 days
Ski areas near Small Vraca
- Скијачки центар Попова шапка18 km away · 2 cm in 3 days
- Mavrovo26 km away · 1 cm in 3 days
- Ski Center Brezovica41 km away · 8 cm in 3 days
More: Mountains in the Šar Mountains · Mountains in North Macedonia · Mountains in Europe · The world’s highest mountains · Ski resorts
Questions about Small Vraca
- Will it snow on Small Vraca this week?
- Yes. About 18 cm of snow is forecast at the summit of Small Vraca (2,536 m) over the next 7 days, most of it on Friday.
- What is the freezing level on Small Vraca?
- Over the next 7 days the freezing level is forecast between about 1,300 m and 3,200 m. The summit is 2,536 m, so the summit will be below freezing at times and above it at others.
- How high is Small Vraca?
- Small Vraca is 2,536 m (8,320 ft) high, in North Macedonia.
- Which mountain range is Small Vraca in?
- Small Vraca is in the Šar Mountains.
Mountain heights and names: Wikidata (CC0).