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How is this worked out?
We take the forecasts each model made one day ahead and compare them, hour by hour, with what the nearest suitable weather station actually measured: temperature, wind speed and daily precipitation. For each of these we work out every model’s average error, then compare it with the average of all the models. The model with the lowest combined score ranks first. The station is picked for being close and at a similar height to your point, and the forecasts are worked out for the height of the station, so it is a fair test.
Models and what’s shown
Changes are saved automaticallyBlack Butte snow forecast and mountain weather
Black Butte rises to 1,963 m in United States, in the Oregon Cascades (North American Cordillera), with a prominence of 938 m. The forecast below starts at the summit; lower the height to see the slopes and valleys, or compare every model.
Black Butte snow forecast, day by day
| Day | Summit1,963 m | 500 m lower1,460 m | 1,000 m lower960 m | Freezing level |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 25 Oct | – | – | – | 2,550–3,300 m |
| Mon 26 Oct | 7 cm | 6 cm | – | 1,500–2,600 m |
| Tue 27 Oct | 2 cm | 1 cm | – | 1,500–1,850 m |
| Wed 28 Oct | 1 cm | 1 cm | – | 1,300–1,650 m |
| Thu 29 Oct | 2 cm | 2 cm | 1 cm | 950–1,450 m |
| Fri 30 Oct | 2 cm | 2 cm | <1 cm | 450–1,450 m |
| Sat 31 Oct | 5 cm | 5 cm | 4 cm | 400–1,700 m |
| Total | 18 cm | 17 cm | 5 cm |
Forecast snowfall worked out for each height from GFS (US) (days in UTC, updated 4 hours ago). Not a measured snow depth. The forecast above has the hour-by-hour detail, wind and temperature, and every other model.
Mountains near Black Butte
- Mount Washington2,376 m · 18 km away · 15 cm in 3 days
- Three Fingered Jack2,391 m · 19 km away · 19 cm in 3 days
- Belknap Crater2,095 m · 21 km away · 15 cm in 3 days
- Mount Jefferson3,199 m · 33 km away · 18 cm in 3 days
- Broken Top2,797 m · 36 km away · 24 cm in 3 days
- Tumalo Mountain2,370 m · 44 km away · 17 cm in 3 days
- Mount Bachelor2,764 m · 47 km away · 17 cm in 3 days
- Lava Butte1,531 m · 58 km away · 3 cm in 3 days
Ski areas near Black Butte
- Hoodoo Ski Area20 km away · 6 cm in 3 days
- Mt. Bachelor46 km away · 12 cm in 3 days
More: Mountains in the Oregon Cascades · Mountains in the North American Cordillera · Mountains in United States · Mountains in North America · The world’s highest mountains · Ski resorts
Questions about Black Butte
- Will it snow on Black Butte this week?
- Yes. About 18 cm of snow is forecast at the summit of Black Butte (1,963 m) over the next 7 days, most of it on Monday.
- What is the freezing level on Black Butte?
- Over the next 7 days the freezing level is forecast between about 400 m and 3,300 m. The summit is 1,963 m, so the summit will be below freezing at times and above it at others.
- How high is Black Butte?
- Black Butte is 1,963 m (6,440 ft) high, in United States.
- How prominent is Black Butte?
- Black Butte has a topographic prominence of 938 m (3,077 ft): it rises that far above the lowest col linking it to any higher ground.
- Which mountain range is Black Butte in?
- Black Butte is in the Oregon Cascades, part of the North American Cordillera.
Mountain heights and names: Wikidata (CC0).