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Most accurate here picks the models that have matched the nearest weather station best. My choice uses the models you tick below.
How is this worked out?
We take the forecasts each model made one day ahead and compare them, hour by hour, with what the nearest suitable weather station actually measured: temperature, wind speed and daily precipitation. For each of these we work out every model’s average error, then compare it with the average of all the models. The model with the lowest combined score ranks first. The station is picked for being close and at a similar height to your point, and the forecasts are worked out for the height of the station, so it is a fair test.
Models and what’s shown
Changes are saved automaticallyBlack Elk Peak snow forecast and mountain weather
Black Elk Peak rises to 2,208 m in United States, in the Black Hills (North American Cordillera), with a prominence of 891 m. The forecast below starts at the summit; lower the height to see the slopes and valleys, or compare every model.
Black Elk Peak snow forecast, day by day
| Day | Summit2,208 m | 500 m lower1,710 m | 1,000 m lower1,210 m | Freezing level |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 25 Oct | – | – | – | 1,750–3,600 m |
| Mon 26 Oct | 15 cm | 15 cm | 9 cm | 1,500–1,700 m |
| Tue 27 Oct | – | – | – | 1,300–3,750 m |
| Wed 28 Oct | – | – | – | 2,800–3,200 m |
| Thu 29 Oct | – | – | – | 3,100–3,350 m |
| Fri 30 Oct | – | – | – | 3,400–3,600 m |
| Sat 31 Oct | – | – | – | 3,150–3,600 m |
| Total | 15 cm | 15 cm | 9 cm |
Forecast snowfall worked out for each height from GFS (US) (days in UTC, updated 4 hours ago). Not a measured snow depth. The forecast above has the hour-by-hour detail, wind and temperature, and every other model.
Mountains near Black Elk Peak
- Mount Rushmore1,745 m · 6 km away · 15 cm in 3 days
Ski areas near Black Elk Peak
- Deer Mountain Village54 km away · 22 cm in 3 days
- Terry Peak Ski Area57 km away · 22 cm in 3 days
More: Mountains in the Rocky Mountains · Mountains in the North American Cordillera · Mountains in United States · Mountains in North America · The world’s highest mountains · Ski resorts
Questions about Black Elk Peak
- Will it snow on Black Elk Peak this week?
- Yes. About 15 cm of snow is forecast at the summit of Black Elk Peak (2,208 m) over the next 7 days, most of it on Monday.
- What is the freezing level on Black Elk Peak?
- Over the next 7 days the freezing level is forecast between about 1,300 m and 3,750 m. The summit is 2,208 m, so the summit will be below freezing at times and above it at others.
- How high is Black Elk Peak?
- Black Elk Peak is 2,208 m (7,244 ft) high, in United States.
- How prominent is Black Elk Peak?
- Black Elk Peak has a topographic prominence of 891 m (2,923 ft): it rises that far above the lowest col linking it to any higher ground.
- Which mountain range is Black Elk Peak in?
- Black Elk Peak is in the Black Hills, part of the North American Cordillera.
Mountain heights and names: Wikidata (CC0).