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How is this worked out?
We take the forecasts each model made one day ahead and compare them, hour by hour, with what the nearest suitable weather station actually measured: temperature, wind speed and daily precipitation. For each of these we work out every model’s average error, then compare it with the average of all the models. The model with the lowest combined score ranks first. The station is picked for being close and at a similar height to your point, and the forecasts are worked out for the height of the station, so it is a fair test.
Models and what’s shown
Changes are saved automaticallyCerro Peña Nevada snow forecast and mountain weather
Cerro Peña Nevada rises to 3,563 m in Mexico, in the Sierra Madre Oriental (North American Cordillera), with a prominence of 1,663 m. The forecast below starts at the summit; lower the height to see the slopes and valleys, or compare every model.
Cerro Peña Nevada snow forecast, day by day
| Day | Summit3,563 m | 500 m lower3,060 m | 1,000 m lower2,560 m | Freezing level |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 26 Oct | – | – | – | 4,400–4,700 m |
| Tue 27 Oct | – | – | – | 4,450–4,750 m |
| Wed 28 Oct | – | – | – | 4,450–4,800 m |
| Thu 29 Oct | – | – | – | 4,400–4,800 m |
| Fri 30 Oct | – | – | – | 4,650–5,000 m |
| Sat 31 Oct | – | – | – | 4,500–4,800 m |
| Sun 1 Nov | – | – | – | 4,500–5,300 m |
| Total | – | – | – |
Forecast snowfall worked out for each height from GFS (US) (days in UTC, updated 3 hours ago). Not a measured snow depth. The forecast above has the hour-by-hour detail, wind and temperature, and every other model.
Mountains near Cerro Peña Nevada
- Cerro El Viejo3,520 m · 29 km away · no snow in 3 days
More: Mountains in the Sierra Madre Oriental · Mountains in the North American Cordillera · Mountains in Mexico · Mountains in North America · The world’s highest mountains · Ski resorts
Questions about Cerro Peña Nevada
- Will it snow on Cerro Peña Nevada this week?
- Little or no new snow is forecast on Cerro Peña Nevada over the next 7 days (no new snow at the summit). Forecasts change, so check again closer to the time.
- What is the freezing level on Cerro Peña Nevada?
- Over the next 7 days the freezing level is forecast between about 4,400 m and 5,300 m. The summit is 3,563 m, so it stays above freezing even at the summit: rain is likely if anything falls.
- How high is Cerro Peña Nevada?
- Cerro Peña Nevada is 3,563 m (11,690 ft) high, in Mexico.
- How prominent is Cerro Peña Nevada?
- Cerro Peña Nevada has a topographic prominence of 1,663 m (5,456 ft): it rises that far above the lowest col linking it to any higher ground.
- Which mountain range is Cerro Peña Nevada in?
- Cerro Peña Nevada is in the Sierra Madre Oriental, part of the North American Cordillera.
Mountain heights and names: Wikidata (CC0).